10/01/2024
·
15:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Al-Saqer vs Al Shuaib Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
36%
4-5
22%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
45%
Home Win
45%
27%
Draw
25%
28%
Away Win
30%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al-Saqer v Al Shuaib — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al-Saqer
The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Shuaib
The Market 34%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
295 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
279 · 71%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al-Saqer vs Al Shuaib
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al-Saqer beat Al Shuaib 3-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Al-Saqer as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Al-Saqer vs Al Shuaib?
Al-Saqer 3-1 Al Shuaib in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al-Saqer vs Al Shuaib?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Saqer win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al-Saqer 45%, draw 27%, Al Shuaib 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Saqer), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Al-Saqer)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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SUUD2
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10 Jan 2024