Girona vs Osasuna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Girona v Osasuna — Team-Based Signals
Girona vs Osasuna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Girona 1-0 Osasuna — Actual Match Statistics
Girona shaded a tight game against Osasuna 1-0.
Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Girona found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (55%) came home.
Under the surface, Girona had 46% of the ball to Osasuna's 54%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.65 to 1.41 — by the quality of chances, Osasuna deserved more.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Girona and 1.17 for Osasuna.
Girona vs Osasuna Result & Final Score
Girona 1-0 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Girona vs Osasuna Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Girona 36%, draw 27%, Osasuna 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Osasuna) went the other way.