Osasuna vs Girona Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Osasuna v Girona — Team-Based Signals
Osasuna vs Girona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 1-1
Girona
İS1
2-1
HT 0-0
Girona
İS1
1-1
HT 1-1
Osasuna
İS1
1-0
HT 1-0
Osasuna
İSPK
Osasuna 2-1 Girona — Actual Match Statistics
Osasuna squeezed past Girona 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Osasuna as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Osasuna had 32% of the ball to Girona's 68%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 1.67 to 0.93.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Osasuna and 2.17 for Girona.
What was the final score of Osasuna vs Girona?
Osasuna 2-1 Girona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Osasuna vs Girona?
Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 41%, draw 30%, Girona 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osasuna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.