Real Betis 1-2 Villarreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.97
Over
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.65
2-3
44%
1.81
4-5
23%
3.2
6+
9%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.0
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
19%
5.21
X/2
9%
7.1
X/X
12%
4.88
2/1
6%
24.65
2/2
13%
4.87
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Betis EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.58/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.35
+26% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
17.2 Crosses 14.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Betis
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Villarreal
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.07 xG 1.47
46% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
341 Passes 397
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2024 Villarreal Villarreal 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
10.03.2024 Real Betis Real Betis 2-3 HT 2-1 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
13.08.2023 Villarreal Villarreal 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
12.03.2023 Villarreal Villarreal 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
11.09.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 0-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
06.02.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 0-2 HT 0-1 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Betis
1-2
AWAY Villarreal
1.46 xG 1.37
68% Ball Possession 32%
24 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
552 Passes 219
89% Pass Accuracy 75%
42 Box Touches 19
34 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Betis vs Villarreal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal squeezed past Real Betis 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Real Betis at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Real Betis had 68% of the ball to Villarreal's 32%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 1.46 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Betis had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Betis and 1.33 for Villarreal.

What was the final score of Real Betis vs Villarreal?

Real Betis 1-2 Villarreal in the Spain - Primera Liga on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Betis vs Villarreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Real Betis 45%, draw 26%, Villarreal 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Betis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Betis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
13 Apr 2025
15:00 Osasuna vs Girona Analysis →
17:15 Deportivo Alaves vs Real Madrid Analysis →
22:00 Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano Analysis →