Heidenheim 2-2 Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.7pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidenheim EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln EU Bookmakers 40%
-11% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.54/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.68
-18% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.4 Crosses 20.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidenheim
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Köln
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.99 xG 2.02
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
275 Passes 386
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 34
20 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Heidenheim Heidenheim 4-1 HT 3-0 Köln Köln AL1
13.01.2024 Köln Köln 1-1 HT 1-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL1
07.04.2019 Heidenheim Heidenheim 0-2 HT 0-2 Köln Köln AL2
27.10.2018 Köln Köln 1-1 HT 0-1 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heidenheim
2-2
AWAY Köln
1.89 xG 2.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 4
397 Passes 299
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Heidenheim vs Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidenheim and Köln couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Köln at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Heidenheim had 56% of the ball to Köln's 44%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 1.89 to 2.99.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Heidenheim and 1.25 for Köln.

What was the final score of Heidenheim vs Köln?

Heidenheim 2-2 Köln in the Germany - Bundesliga on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidenheim vs Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Heidenheim 34%, draw 24%, Köln 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Köln) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Köln) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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