Cheltenham Town 0-2 Leicester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
46%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.74
Over 2.5
55%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.9
No
43%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.85
6+ Goals
11%
17.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.13
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
1/X
7%
15.95
X/1
12%
8.59
X/2
20%
4.27
X/X
10%
4.63
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
18%
2.45
2/X
6%
14.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
23%
+7.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-5.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
54%
-8.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
46%
+8.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.4pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City EU Bookmakers 56%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
2.28/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.86
+65% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -65%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
Crosses 23.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheltenham Town
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Leicester City
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
29% Ball Possession 71%
6 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
20.07.2019 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Leicester City Leicester City HAZ
07.03.2009 Leicester City Leicester City 4-0 HT 2-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1
30.08.2008 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 0-4 HT 0-1 Leicester City Leicester City İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheltenham Town
0-2
AWAY Leicester City
0.69 xG 0.86
29% Ball Possession 71%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 10
175 Passes 515
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cheltenham Town vs Leicester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leicester City got the better of Cheltenham Town 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leicester City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cheltenham Town had 29% of the ball to Leicester City's 71%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.69 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Leicester City led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cheltenham Town and 3.33 for Leicester City.

What was the final score of Cheltenham Town vs Leicester City?

Cheltenham Town 0-2 Leicester City in the England - FA Cup on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheltenham Town vs Leicester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leicester City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 31%, draw 23%, Leicester City 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leicester City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leicester City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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