Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newcastle v Bournemouth — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle 3-3 Bournemouth — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle and Bournemouth shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Newcastle at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Newcastle had 63% of the ball to Bournemouth's 37%, shots finished 23-22, expected goals 3.91 to 3.02.
What was the final score of Newcastle vs Bournemouth?
Newcastle 3-3 Bournemouth in the England - FA Cup on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newcastle vs Bournemouth?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Newcastle 57%, draw 19%, Bournemouth 24%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Newcastle), BTTS No went the other way.