Fulham vs Middlesbrough Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fulham v Middlesbrough — Team-Based Signals
Fulham vs Middlesbrough Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Fulham
İNCL
1-1
HT 1-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
1-0
HT 1-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
0-0
HT 0-0
Fulham
İNCL
0-1
HT 0-0
Fulham
İNCL
1-1
HT 0-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
Fulham 3-1 Middlesbrough — Actual Match Statistics
Fulham beat Middlesbrough 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fulham as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Fulham had 56% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 44%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.18 to 0.74.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fulham had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fulham and 0.33 for Middlesbrough.
What was the final score of Fulham vs Middlesbrough?
Fulham 3-1 Middlesbrough in the England - FA Cup on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fulham vs Middlesbrough?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fulham 48%, draw 25%, Middlesbrough 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fulham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.