Macclesfield 2-1 Crystal Palace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
9.57
Draw
14%
5.71
Away
61%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.61
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.95
No
42%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.6
2-3 Goals
33%
2.02
4-5 Goals
34%
2.51
6+ Goals
15%
5.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
20.35
1/2
9%
21.75
1/X
4%
28.5
X/1 EV+ ✗
11%
24.0
X/2
21%
3.89
X/X
7%
9.68
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
30%
1.38
2/X
4%
24.0
Value flag · X/1 at 24.0 — our 11% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
8%
+17.4pp
14%
Draw
15%
-1.0pp
61%
Away Win
77%
-16.4pp
35%
Under 2.5
35%
+0.6pp
65%
Over 2.5
65%
-0.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
47%
+10.9pp
42%
BTTS No
53%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macclesfield EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 81%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% /
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
234 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 464 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
Crosses 8.0
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macclesfield
2-1
AWAY Crystal Palace
0.82 xG 0.78
29% Ball Possession 71%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
103 Passes 433
49% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Macclesfield vs Crystal Palace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macclesfield nicked a narrow win over Crystal Palace 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Crystal Palace at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Macclesfield had 29% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 71%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.82 to 0.78.

What was the final score of Macclesfield vs Crystal Palace?

Macclesfield 2-1 Crystal Palace in the England - FA Cup on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macclesfield vs Crystal Palace?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Macclesfield 25%, draw 14%, Crystal Palace 61%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Crystal Palace) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crystal Palace) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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