Everton 1-1 Sunderland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 10 Jan 2026

Everton
1-1 HT 0-1
Sunderland
📅10/01/2026 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2025/2026

Everton vs Sunderland Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.75
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.73
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
10%
13.65
X/1
12%
5.28
X/2
7%
6.0
X/X
8%
3.83
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
18%
4.55
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+6.5pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.6pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Everton v Sunderland — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.06/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.17/0.53
-31% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -88% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.3 Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards –

Everton vs Sunderland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sunderland
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.33 xG 0.91
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
475 Passes 259
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.11.2025 Sunderland Sunderland 1-1 HT 0-1 Everton Everton İNP
20.09.2017 Everton Everton 3-0 HT 1-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNLK
25.02.2017 Everton Everton 2-0 HT 1-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNP
12.09.2016 Sunderland Sunderland 0-3 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
11.05.2016 Sunderland Sunderland 3-0 HT 2-0 Everton Everton İNP
01.11.2015 Everton Everton 6-2 HT 2-1 Sunderland Sunderland İNP

Everton 1-1 Sunderland — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton
1-1
AWAY Sunderland
1.48 xG 0.92
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 7
437 Passes 555
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 40
25 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Everton vs Sunderland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton and Sunderland shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Everton at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Everton had 45% of the ball to Sunderland's 55%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.48 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Everton had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Everton and 1.00 for Sunderland.

What was the final score of Everton vs Sunderland?

Everton 1-1 Sunderland in the England - FA Cup on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton vs Sunderland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Everton 44%, draw 25%, Sunderland 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Everton), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Everton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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