Amora FC 1-1 Lusitano Évora 1911 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+4.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.8pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amora FC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911 EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
303 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amora FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
04.10.2025 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 3-1 HT 0-1 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amora FC
1-1
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911
59% Ball Possession 41%
3 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amora FC vs Lusitano Évora 1911
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amora FC and Lusitano Évora 1911 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lusitano Évora 1911 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Amora FC had 59% of the ball to Lusitano Évora 1911's 41%, shots finished 3-17.

What was the final score of Amora FC vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Amora FC 1-1 Lusitano Évora 1911 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amora FC vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lusitano Évora 1911 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Amora FC 31%, draw 25%, Lusitano Évora 1911 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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