Sao Joao Ver 0-4 Fafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
50%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.2pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.6pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Fafe EU Bookmakers 53%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.30/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.74
+13% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -43%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Joao Ver
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Fafe
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2025 Fafe Fafe 2-0 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
11.01.2025 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 4-1 HT 1-1 Fafe Fafe POR3
28.09.2024 Fafe Fafe 2-1 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
29.04.2023 Fafe Fafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
07.04.2023 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-2 HT 1-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
18.12.2022 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 2-1 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Joao Ver
0-4
AWAY Fafe
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sao Joao Ver vs Fafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fafe swept aside Sao Joao Ver 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fafe as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sao Joao Ver had 51% of the ball to Fafe's 49%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fafe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sao Joao Ver and 1.33 for Fafe.

What was the final score of Sao Joao Ver vs Fafe?

Sao Joao Ver 0-4 Fafe in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Joao Ver vs Fafe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sao Joao Ver 28%, draw 22%, Fafe 50%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fafe) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fafe) ✗ Under 2.5
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