Dezembro 1-1 Mafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
0.98/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-17% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dezembro
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mafra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2025 Mafra Mafra 3-1 HT 1-1 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dezembro
1-1
AWAY Mafra
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs Mafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dezembro and Mafra shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Mafra at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dezembro had 50% of the ball to Mafra's 50%.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs Mafra?

Dezembro 1-1 Mafra in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs Mafra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mafra win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 30%, draw 26%, Mafra 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mafra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mafra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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