Sanjoanense 2-4 Trofense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Trofense EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.19/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.02
+3% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanjoanense
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Trofense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2025 Trofense Trofense 1-2 HT 0-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
26.04.2025 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 3-1 HT 2-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
22.02.2025 Trofense Trofense 2-0 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
07.12.2024 Trofense Trofense 3-2 HT 1-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
25.08.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-2 HT 0-1 Trofense Trofense POR3
04.05.2024 Trofense Trofense 1-2 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
2-4
AWAY Trofense
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs Trofense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trofense got the better of Sanjoanense 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Trofense as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 66% of the ball to Trofense's 34%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sanjoanense and 1.67 for Trofense.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Trofense?

Sanjoanense 2-4 Trofense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Trofense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 31%, draw 28%, Trofense 41%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trofense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trofense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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