Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Galatasaray v Fenerbahçe — Team-Based Signals
Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Galatasaray
TSL
Galatasaray 0-2 Fenerbahçe — Actual Match Statistics
Fenerbahçe beat Galatasaray 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and on the day Fenerbahçe made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Galatasaray had 64% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 36%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.69 to 0.80.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Galatasaray and 0.67 for Fenerbahçe.
What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe?
Galatasaray 0-2 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Super Cup on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 39%, draw 23%, Fenerbahçe 38%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.