Ajaccio 3-0 Guingamp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.36
Over 2.5
36%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
17%
7.97
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.69
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
16.3
X/1
16%
5.26
X/2
12%
4.7
X/X
20%
3.06
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
12%
4.02
2/X
4%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.9pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.0pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp EU Bookmakers 39%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +20%
1.07/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.13
-18% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +35%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
14.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
15.6 Crosses 17.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajaccio
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Guingamp
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.05 xG 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
336 Passes 315
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2023 Guingamp Guingamp 3-0 HT 2-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
12.02.2022 Ajaccio Ajaccio 0-1 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
28.08.2021 Guingamp Guingamp 1-1 HT 0-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
13.03.2021 Ajaccio Ajaccio 0-2 HT 0-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
23.11.2020 Guingamp Guingamp 2-2 HT 0-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
09.11.2019 Guingamp Guingamp 1-1 HT 0-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajaccio
3-0
AWAY Guingamp
2.14 xG 0.26
55% Ball Possession 45%
5 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 4
388 Passes 299
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 8
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajaccio vs Guingamp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajaccio ran out comfortable winners over Guingamp 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Ajaccio made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Ajaccio had 55% of the ball to Guingamp's 45%, shots finished 5-5, expected goals 2.14 to 0.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guingamp led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ajaccio and 1.67 for Guingamp.

What was the final score of Ajaccio vs Guingamp?

Ajaccio 3-0 Guingamp in the France - Ligue 2 on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajaccio vs Guingamp?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajaccio win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ajaccio 37%, draw 32%, Guingamp 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajaccio), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajaccio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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