AC Fanfulla 1874 2-2 Calcio Certaldo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
40%
4-5
17%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Fanfulla 1874 The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Calcio Certaldo The Market 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH AC Fanfulla 1874 vs Calcio Certaldo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Fanfulla 1874 and Calcio Certaldo couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was AC Fanfulla 1874 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of AC Fanfulla 1874 vs Calcio Certaldo?

AC Fanfulla 1874 2-2 Calcio Certaldo in the Italy - Serie D on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Fanfulla 1874 vs Calcio Certaldo?

Before kick-off our model rated a AC Fanfulla 1874 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AC Fanfulla 1874 42%, draw 27%, Calcio Certaldo 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AC Fanfulla 1874) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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