Mobilieri Ponsacco 0-0 Orvietana Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
47%
4-5
17%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mobilieri Ponsacco The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Orvietana Calcio The Market 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Mobilieri Ponsacco vs Orvietana Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mobilieri Ponsacco and Orvietana Calcio fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Mobilieri Ponsacco at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Mobilieri Ponsacco vs Orvietana Calcio?

Mobilieri Ponsacco 0-0 Orvietana Calcio in the Italy - Serie D on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mobilieri Ponsacco vs Orvietana Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mobilieri Ponsacco win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mobilieri Ponsacco 43%, draw 28%, Orvietana Calcio 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mobilieri Ponsacco) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mobilieri Ponsacco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTD More Italy - Serie D
10 Mar 2024
16:30 USD Palmese vs Barletta Analysis →
16:30 AC Fanfulla 1874 vs Calcio Certaldo Analysis →
16:30 Chions vs Bassano Virtus Analysis →
16:30 Corticella vs Sammaurese Analysis →
16:30 Voghera vs Bra Analysis →
16:30 Ischia vs Anziolavinio Analysis →