10/03/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
0-0
Voghera vs Bra Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
Over
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No
62%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
45%
4-5
15%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
25%
Home Win
26%
27%
Draw
27%
48%
Away Win
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Voghera v Bra — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Voghera
The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bra
The Market 50%
+2% /
+2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-25% /
-25%
2.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.66/1.34
+53%
/
-47%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-40%
/
-6%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
8
Total Shots
11
2
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
312 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
361 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Voghera vs Bra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Voghera and Bra fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match lean was Bra at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Voghera vs Bra?
Voghera 0-0 Bra in the Italy - Serie D on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Voghera vs Bra?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bra win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Voghera 25%, draw 27%, Bra 48%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bra) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Bra)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
10 Mar 2024