Corticella vs Sammaurese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Corticella v Sammaurese — Team-Based Signals
Corticella 2-1 Sammaurese — Actual Match Statistics
Corticella squeezed past Sammaurese 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Corticella as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Corticella had 54% of the ball to Sammaurese's 46%, shots finished 15-2.
What was the final score of Corticella vs Sammaurese?
Corticella 2-1 Sammaurese in the Italy - Serie D on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Corticella vs Sammaurese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Corticella win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Corticella 42%, draw 29%, Sammaurese 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corticella) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.