10/03/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
USD Palmese vs Barletta Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
41%
4-5
22%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
45%
Home Win
25%
23%
Draw
23%
32%
Away Win
52%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
USD Palmese v Barletta — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
USD Palmese
The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Barletta
The Market 56%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
6
312 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
330 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
USD Palmese vs Barletta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
USD Palmese got the better of Barletta 3-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had USD Palmese as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of USD Palmese vs Barletta?
USD Palmese 3-1 Barletta in the Italy - Serie D on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for USD Palmese vs Barletta?
Before kick-off our model rated a USD Palmese win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split USD Palmese 45%, draw 23%, Barletta 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USD Palmese) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (USD Palmese)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
10 Mar 2024