Castrovillari Calcio 1-1 Igea Virtus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
40%
4-5
19%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
47%
-13.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
38%
Away Win
26%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Castrovillari Calcio The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Igea Virtus The Market 29%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-11% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -44%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Castrovillari Calcio vs Igea Virtus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Castrovillari Calcio and Igea Virtus shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Castrovillari Calcio vs Igea Virtus?

Castrovillari Calcio 1-1 Igea Virtus in the Italy - Serie D on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Castrovillari Calcio vs Igea Virtus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Igea Virtus win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Castrovillari Calcio 34%, draw 28%, Igea Virtus 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Igea Virtus), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Igea Virtus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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