Sangiuliano City 0-3 Athletic Carpi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.81
Away Pick
58%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
32%
4-5
23%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Athletic Carpi win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
20%
Home Win
14%
+5.5pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.8pp
58%
Away Win
68%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sangiuliano City The Market 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Carpi The Market 72%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Sangiuliano City vs Athletic Carpi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Carpi swept aside Sangiuliano City 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Athletic Carpi as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Sangiuliano City vs Athletic Carpi?

Sangiuliano City 0-3 Athletic Carpi in the Italy - Serie D on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sangiuliano City vs Athletic Carpi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Carpi win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sangiuliano City 20%, draw 23%, Athletic Carpi 58%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Carpi), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Carpi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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