10/03/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Nocerina vs Cavese Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
40%
4-5
22%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
40%
Home Win
51%
32%
Draw
24%
28%
Away Win
25%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nocerina v Cavese — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Nocerina
The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY
Cavese
The Market 29%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+38% /
+38%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+54%
/
+72%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
6
316 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
375 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Nocerina vs Cavese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Nocerina and Cavese played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 28% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
What was the final score of Nocerina vs Cavese?
Nocerina 0-0 Cavese in the Italy - Serie D on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nocerina vs Cavese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nocerina win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nocerina 40%, draw 32%, Cavese 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nocerina) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Nocerina)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İTD
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10 Mar 2024