Villa dAlme 0-1 Arconatese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.75
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
34%
4-5
25%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
53%
-18.1pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.3pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villa dAlme The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Arconatese The Market 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +57% / +57%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villa dAlme
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Arconatese
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
01.11.2023 Arconatese Arconatese 2-1 Villa dAlme İTD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villa dAlme
0-1
AWAY Arconatese
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Villa dAlme vs Arconatese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arconatese edged past Villa dAlme 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 32% — and on the day Arconatese made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Villa dAlme had 58% of the ball to Arconatese's 42%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Villa dAlme vs Arconatese?

Villa dAlme 0-1 Arconatese in the Italy - Serie D on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villa dAlme vs Arconatese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villa dAlme win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Villa dAlme 35%, draw 33%, Arconatese 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Villa dAlme), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Villa dAlme) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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