Central & Western 2-3 Yuen Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
26%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
3.17
Over 2.5
45%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.5
No
57%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
69%
-21.2pp
26%
Draw
18%
+8.2pp
26%
Away Win
13%
+13.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
28%
+26.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
72%
-26.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
62%
-19.4pp
57%
BTTS No
38%
+19.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central & Western EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 16%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
4.22/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.29/1.32
+55% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / +128%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
493 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central & Western
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Yuen Long
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
07.01.2024 Yuen Long Yuen Long 1-2 HT 0-1 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
05.02.2023 Yuen Long Yuen Long 0-0 HT 0-0 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
23.10.2022 Central & Western Central & Western 2-2 HT 2-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
07.11.2021 Yuen Long Yuen Long 4-2 HT 1-1 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central & Western
2-3
AWAY Yuen Long
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 8
11 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Central & Western vs Yuen Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yuen Long edged past Central & Western 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Central & Western at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Central & Western had 47% of the ball to Yuen Long's 53%, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Central & Western and 1.75 for Yuen Long.

What was the final score of Central & Western vs Yuen Long?

Central & Western 2-3 Yuen Long in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central & Western vs Yuen Long?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central & Western win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Central & Western 48%, draw 26%, Yuen Long 26%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Central & Western) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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