Dumbarton 2-0 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 10 Mar 2026

📅10/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.22
2-3 Goals
35%
1.73
4-5 Goals
25%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
12.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -19%
1.33/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.84
-5% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -29%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 3.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stranraer
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
20.12.2025 Stranraer Stranraer 1-1 HT 1-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
27.09.2025 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-2 HT 0-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
20.04.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 0-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
05.03.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 5-0 HT 4-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
24.02.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-1 HT 2-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
30.09.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 3-1 HT 2-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dumbarton beat Stranraer 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Dumbarton made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dumbarton and 1.67 for Stranraer.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Stranraer?

Dumbarton 2-0 Stranraer in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 10/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 41%, draw 23%, Stranraer 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dumbarton) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✗ BTTS Yes
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