Dumbarton 1-2 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
27%
3.03
6+ Goals
8%
10.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.5pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%
1.57/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.62
-14% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
204 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 162 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 3.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Stranraer
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
20.04.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 0-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
05.03.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 5-0 HT 4-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
24.02.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-1 HT 2-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
30.09.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 3-1 HT 2-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
06.05.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-1 HT 1-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
04.03.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 0-2 HT 0-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stranraer squeezed past Dumbarton 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dumbarton at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dumbarton and 1.33 for Stranraer.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Stranraer?

Dumbarton 1-2 Stranraer in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 44%, draw 29%, Stranraer 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dumbarton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✓ BTTS Yes
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