Elgin City 2-3 Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
44%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.86
Over 2.5
56%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.4
6+ Goals
13%
13.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.4 — our 27% vs market 22.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
45%
Away Win
38%
+6.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
50%
-6.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
50%
+6.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.7pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartans EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.33/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.67
+0% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elgin City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Spartans
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
22.03.2025 Spartans Spartans 1-2 HT 0-2 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
11.03.2025 Elgin City Elgin City 0-2 HT 0-1 Spartans Spartans İK2
19.10.2024 Spartans Spartans 1-3 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
17.09.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 1-1 HT 0-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
06.04.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 2-2 HT 0-1 Spartans Spartans İK2
10.02.2024 Spartans Spartans 1-2 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartans squeezed past Elgin City 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spartans as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elgin City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Elgin City and 1.33 for Spartans.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs Spartans?

Elgin City 2-3 Spartans in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 33%, draw 23%, Spartans 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartans), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartans) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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