Edinburgh City 1-1 Forfar Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.02
6+ Goals
10%
9.98
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.65 — our 28% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.3pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.44/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.91
+0% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +54%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 5.0
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Edinburgh City
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Forfar Athletic
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
26.04.2025 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 0-0 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
08.02.2025 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
02.11.2024 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-0 HT 1-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
24.08.2024 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 0-3 HT 0-2 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
09.04.2022 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-0 HT 1-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
31.01.2022 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-3 HT 0-2 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
POST-MATCH Edinburgh City vs Forfar Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Edinburgh City and Forfar Athletic shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Edinburgh City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Edinburgh City had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Edinburgh City and 0.33 for Forfar Athletic.

What was the final score of Edinburgh City vs Forfar Athletic?

Edinburgh City 1-1 Forfar Athletic in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Edinburgh City vs Forfar Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Edinburgh City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Edinburgh City 45%, draw 29%, Forfar Athletic 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Edinburgh City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Edinburgh City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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