Deportivo Recoleta 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 10 Mar 2026

📅10/03/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-3.0pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.9pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Recoleta EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.40/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.30
+22% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2025 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-4 HT 0-2 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PAR
22.07.2025 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 3-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
11.05.2025 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PAR
01.03.2025 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 1-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
1-1
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Recoleta and Sportivo Ameliano shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (27% / 33% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Recoleta had 53% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 47%, shots finished 12-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Deportivo Recoleta had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Deportivo Recoleta and 1.00 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Deportivo Recoleta 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 10/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sportivo Ameliano win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Recoleta 27%, draw 33%, Sportivo Ameliano 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano) ✓ Under 2.5
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