FAS 0-3 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 10 Apr 2025

📅10/04/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.64
Over
35%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
49%
4-5
12%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
57%
-14.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
18%
+14.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
57%
+8.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
43%
-8.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FAS EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.68/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.61
+4% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
414 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FAS
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
13.02.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-0 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
06.10.2024 FAS FAS 4-0 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
05.08.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 2-2 HT 0-2 FAS FAS ELSAL
25.04.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-2 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
25.02.2024 FAS FAS 1-0 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
20.10.2023 FAS FAS 0-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH FAS vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuerte San Francisco ran out comfortable winners over FAS 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FAS at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FAS had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FAS and 0.33 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of FAS vs Fuerte San Francisco?

FAS 0-3 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FAS vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a FAS win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FAS 43%, draw 25%, Fuerte San Francisco 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (FAS), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FAS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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