Dragon vs Isidro Metapan Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dragon v Isidro Metapan — Team-Based Signals
Dragon vs Isidro Metapan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Dragon
ELSAL
Isidro Metapan squeezed past Dragon 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Isidro Metapan as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dragon and 2.17 for Isidro Metapan.
What was the final score of Dragon vs Isidro Metapan?
Dragon 2-3 Isidro Metapan in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dragon vs Isidro Metapan?
Before kick-off our model rated an Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dragon 27%, draw 28%, Isidro Metapan 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Isidro Metapan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.