Isidro Metapan vs Dragon Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Isidro Metapan v Dragon — Team-Based Signals
Isidro Metapan vs Dragon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Dragon
ELSAL
0-0
HT 0-0
Isidro Metapan
ELSAL
Isidro Metapan squeezed past Dragon 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Isidro Metapan as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Isidro Metapan and 1.00 for Dragon.
What was the final score of Isidro Metapan vs Dragon?
Isidro Metapan 2-1 Dragon in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Isidro Metapan vs Dragon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Isidro Metapan 59%, draw 25%, Dragon 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Isidro Metapan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.