Alianza 2-1 Luis Angel Firpo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 13 Feb 2025

📅13/02/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.62
Over
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
43%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
1.67/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.37
+19% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2 Corners 7
14.10.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
26.09.2024 Alianza Alianza 3-0 HT 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
07.04.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-0 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
29.01.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-3 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
22.11.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
24.08.2023 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 1-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Luis Angel Firpo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza squeezed past Luis Angel Firpo 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alianza and 0.33 for Luis Angel Firpo.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Alianza 2-1 Luis Angel Firpo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alianza 46%, draw 29%, Luis Angel Firpo 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ELSAL More El Salvador - Primera Liga
13 Feb 2025
00:00 Once Deportivo vs Platense Analysis →
00:00 Fuerte San Francisco vs FAS Analysis →
04:15 Isidro Metapan vs Dragon Analysis →