Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Slavia Sofia v Septemvri Sofia — Team-Based Signals
Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Slavia Sofia
BUL1
1-1
HT 0-0
Slavia Sofia
HAZ
Slavia Sofia 1-2 Septemvri Sofia — Actual Match Statistics
Septemvri Sofia edged past Slavia Sofia 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Slavia Sofia at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Slavia Sofia had 46% of the ball to Septemvri Sofia's 54%, shots finished 7-20.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Septemvri Sofia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Slavia Sofia and 1.83 for Septemvri Sofia.
What was the final score of Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
Slavia Sofia 1-2 Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 10/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Slavia Sofia 57%, draw 22%, Septemvri Sofia 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.