AGF Aarhus 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 10 Apr 2026

AGF Aarhus
1 - 1 HT 0 - 1
FC Nordsjaelland
📅10/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2025/2026

AGF Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
23%
3.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.17
Over Pick
61%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.44
2-3
43%
1.87
4-5
29%
2.77
6+
10%
7.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.39
1/2
2%
33.5
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
16%
4.7
X/2
8%
8.26
X/X
13%
5.69
2/1
4%
20.65
2/2
13%
5.69
2/X
5%
13.7
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

AGF Aarhus v FC Nordsjaelland — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME AGF Aarhus The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland The Market 28%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.76 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.23
1.07 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.98
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2

AGF Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AGF Aarhus
4W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.42 xG 1.04
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
386 Passes 503
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
25 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.10.2025 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
28.09.2025 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-2 HT 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
16.05.2025 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-0 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
30.03.2025 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
22.11.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 HT 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
31.08.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 4-2 HT 1-2 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN

AGF Aarhus 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AGF Aarhus
1 - 1
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
2.46 xG 0.31
62% Ball Possession 38%
25 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
482 Passes 289
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
44 Box Touches 9
27 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 6
REVIEW AGF Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

AGF Aarhus and FC Nordsjaelland traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-1.

We leaned AGF Aarhus at 54% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals card split: both teams to score (60%) came in, over 2.5 goals (61%) didn't.

On the day, AGF Aarhus had 62% of the ball to FC Nordsjaelland's 38%, shots finished 25-8, expected goals 2.46 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AGF Aarhus and 1.00 for FC Nordsjaelland.

AGF Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland Result & Final Score

AGF Aarhus 1 - 1 FC Nordsjaelland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 10/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

AGF Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split AGF Aarhus 54%, draw 23%, FC Nordsjaelland 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AGF Aarhus), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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