FC Nordsjaelland 2-0 AGF Aarhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.07
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
2.9
6+ Goals
14%
8.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+2.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-3.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -13%
1.77/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.62
+20% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
17.2 Crosses 21.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
3W-0D-3L
AWAY AGF Aarhus
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.49 xG 1.08
59% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
470 Passes 300
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
22.11.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 HT 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
31.08.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 4-2 HT 1-2 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
03.05.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-3 HT 0-2 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
22.04.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 7-2 HT 3-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
11.04.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
2-0
AWAY AGF Aarhus
1.07 xG 0.72
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
628 Passes 319
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Nordsjaelland vs AGF Aarhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nordsjaelland beat AGF Aarhus 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Nordsjaelland as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Nordsjaelland had 64% of the ball to AGF Aarhus's 36%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.07 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 1.67 for AGF Aarhus.

What was the final score of FC Nordsjaelland vs AGF Aarhus?

FC Nordsjaelland 2-0 AGF Aarhus in the Denmark - Süperlig on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Nordsjaelland vs AGF Aarhus?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FC Nordsjaelland 52%, draw 25%, AGF Aarhus 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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