FC Nordsjaelland vs AGF Aarhus Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Nordsjaelland v AGF Aarhus — Team-Based Signals
FC Nordsjaelland vs AGF Aarhus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
AGF Aarhus
DAN
FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 AGF Aarhus — Actual Match Statistics
FC Nordsjaelland edged past AGF Aarhus 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Nordsjaelland as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, FC Nordsjaelland had 55% of the ball to AGF Aarhus's 45%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 2.31 to 0.62 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FC Nordsjaelland's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 1.83 for AGF Aarhus.
What was the final score of FC Nordsjaelland vs AGF Aarhus?
FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 AGF Aarhus in the Denmark - Süperlig on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Nordsjaelland vs AGF Aarhus?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Nordsjaelland 44%, draw 29%, AGF Aarhus 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.