AGF Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AGF Aarhus v FC Nordsjaelland — Team-Based Signals
AGF Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
AGF Aarhus
DAN
1-3
HT 1-1
FC Nordsjaelland
DAN
AGF Aarhus 4-2 FC Nordsjaelland — Actual Match Statistics
AGF Aarhus got the better of FC Nordsjaelland 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AGF Aarhus as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, AGF Aarhus had 44% of the ball to FC Nordsjaelland's 56%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.05 to 1.15.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Nordsjaelland led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for AGF Aarhus and 2.50 for FC Nordsjaelland.
What was the final score of AGF Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland?
AGF Aarhus 4-2 FC Nordsjaelland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AGF Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland?
Before kick-off our model rated a AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AGF Aarhus 41%, draw 24%, FC Nordsjaelland 35%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AGF Aarhus), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.