Chateauroux 3-5 Quevilly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 10 Apr 2026

📅10/04/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
23%
4.21
6+ Goals
9%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.94
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
13%
4.57
X/2
10%
6.91
X/X
13%
4.05
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
10%
5.54
2/X
7%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Quevilly EU Bookmakers 30%
-19% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.05/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.40
-25% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chateauroux
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Quevilly
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
328 Passes 374
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.11.2025 Quevilly Quevilly 0-3 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
14.02.2025 Quevilly Quevilly 1-2 HT 0-2 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
13.09.2024 Chateauroux Chateauroux 4-3 HT 1-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR3
02.02.2018 Quevilly Quevilly 0-1 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
08.09.2017 Chateauroux Chateauroux 3-2 HT 2-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chateauroux
3-5
AWAY Quevilly
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 12
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chateauroux vs Quevilly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quevilly got the better of Chateauroux 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Chateauroux at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Chateauroux had 56% of the ball to Quevilly's 44%, shots finished 15-23.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chateauroux had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Chateauroux and 1.20 for Quevilly.

What was the final score of Chateauroux vs Quevilly?

Chateauroux 3-5 Quevilly in the France - National League 1 on 10/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chateauroux vs Quevilly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chateauroux win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chateauroux 47%, draw 27%, Quevilly 26%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chateauroux), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chateauroux) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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