Famalicao 1-1 Moreirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 10 Apr 2026

📅10/04/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.47
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 31% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.8
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
8%
17.6
X/1
23%
3.71
X/2
6%
12.85
X/X
9%
5.3
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
6%
11.7
2/X
7%
20.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
64%
-3.9pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreirense EU Bookmakers 17%
-6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.63/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.43
-6% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
24.2 Crosses 13.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Moreirense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.26 xG 0.86
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
345 Passes 332
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
29.11.2025 Moreirense Moreirense 2-2 HT 0-1 Famalicao Famalicao POR
23.02.2025 Famalicao Famalicao 2-0 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
21.09.2024 Moreirense Moreirense 0-0 HT 0-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
28.01.2024 Moreirense Moreirense 1-0 HT 0-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
21.08.2023 Famalicao Famalicao 0-0 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
13.02.2022 Famalicao Famalicao 5-0 HT 4-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao
1-1
AWAY Moreirense
1.70 xG 0.77
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 0
426 Passes 235
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
49 Box Touches 5
43 Crosses 4
5 Yellow Cards 6
FAQ Famalicao vs Moreirense
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Famalicao and Moreirense shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Portugal - Premier League on 10 Apr 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Famalicao had 63% of the ball to Moreirense's 37%, shots finished 18-2, expected goals 1.70 to 0.77.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Famalicao have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Famalicao and 0.50 for Moreirense.

What was the final score of Famalicao vs Moreirense?

Famalicao 1-1 Moreirense in the Portugal - Premier League on 10/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao vs Moreirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Famalicao 60%, draw 23%, Moreirense 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Famalicao), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Famalicao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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