Moreirense 2-2 Famalicao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.06
6+ Goals
8%
19.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.93
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
9%
6.56
X/2
17%
5.02
X/X
8%
4.26
2/1
10%
35.0
2/2
18%
3.25
2/X
10%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreirense EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.15/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.35
+6% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
17.1 Crosses 16.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreirense
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Famalicao
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.85 xG 1.16
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
317 Passes 343
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2025 Famalicao Famalicao 2-0 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
21.09.2024 Moreirense Moreirense 0-0 HT 0-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
28.01.2024 Moreirense Moreirense 1-0 HT 0-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
21.08.2023 Famalicao Famalicao 0-0 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
13.02.2022 Famalicao Famalicao 5-0 HT 4-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
12.09.2021 Moreirense Moreirense 2-2 HT 1-1 Famalicao Famalicao POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moreirense
2-2
AWAY Famalicao
1.41 xG 2.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
323 Passes 333
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 41
12 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Moreirense vs Famalicao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreirense and Famalicao couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Famalicao at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Moreirense had 48% of the ball to Famalicao's 52%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.41 to 2.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Famalicao led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Moreirense and 1.50 for Famalicao.

What was the final score of Moreirense vs Famalicao?

Moreirense 2-2 Famalicao in the Portugal - Premier League on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreirense vs Famalicao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Moreirense 32%, draw 25%, Famalicao 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Famalicao), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Famalicao) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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