Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Holstein Kiel v Freiburg — Team-Based Signals
Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Freiburg
AFK
Holstein Kiel 1-2 Freiburg — Actual Match Statistics
Freiburg nicked a narrow win over Holstein Kiel 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Freiburg as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Holstein Kiel had 60% of the ball to Freiburg's 40%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.98 to 1.58.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Holstein Kiel and 2.00 for Freiburg.
What was the final score of Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg?
Holstein Kiel 1-2 Freiburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg?
Before kick-off our model rated an Freiburg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel 34%, draw 22%, Freiburg 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.