Bochum vs Mainz 05 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bochum v Mainz 05 — Team-Based Signals
Bochum vs Mainz 05 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Mainz 05
AL1
5-2
HT 3-0
Bochum
AL1
1-2
HT 1-1
Mainz 05
AL1
3-1
HT 0-1
Mainz 05
AFK
Bochum 1-4 Mainz 05 — Actual Match Statistics
Mainz 05 cruised past Bochum 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Mainz 05 made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Bochum had 44% of the ball to Mainz 05's 56%, shots finished 11-22, expected goals 0.90 to 1.50.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bochum and 2.33 for Mainz 05.
What was the final score of Bochum vs Mainz 05?
Bochum 1-4 Mainz 05 in the Germany - Bundesliga on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bochum vs Mainz 05?
Before kick-off our model rated an Mainz 05 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bochum 34%, draw 28%, Mainz 05 38%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mainz 05), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.