Bayern Münih 2-0 Mönchengladbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.78
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
1.0
Over 2.5
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
14.5
2-3 Goals
36%
3.16
4-5 Goals
30%
2.29
6+ Goals
20%
2.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1.24
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
26.5
X/1
11%
4.48
X/2
6%
32.0
X/X
6%
16.0
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
16.7
2/2
5%
23.3
2/X
5%
31.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 16.7 — our 10% vs market 3.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
82%
-13.3pp
16%
Draw
10%
+6.4pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.6pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 11%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
2.83/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.08
+38% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +0%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
520 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
41.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
21.0 Crosses 14.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern Münih
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mönchengladbach
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.42 xG 0.92
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
530 Passes 318
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
41 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.01.2025 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 0-1 HT 0-0 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
03.02.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-1 HT 1-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
02.09.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-2 HT 1-0 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
18.02.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 3-2 HT 1-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
27.08.2022 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-1 HT 0-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
07.01.2022 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-2 HT 1-2 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern Münih
2-0
AWAY Mönchengladbach
2.58 xG 1.70
63% Ball Possession 37%
24 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
613 Passes 318
91% Pass Accuracy 82%
46 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bayern Münih vs Mönchengladbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih saw off Mönchengladbach 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bayern Münih had 63% of the ball to Mönchengladbach's 37%, shots finished 24-16, expected goals 2.58 to 1.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bayern Münih and 1.33 for Mönchengladbach.

What was the final score of Bayern Münih vs Mönchengladbach?

Bayern Münih 2-0 Mönchengladbach in the Germany - Bundesliga on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern Münih vs Mönchengladbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Bayern Münih 68%, draw 16%, Mönchengladbach 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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