Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Holstein Kiel v Freiburg — Team-Based Signals
Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Holstein Kiel 1-2 Freiburg — Actual Match Statistics
Freiburg came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Holstein Kiel 2-1 on the road. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Freiburg as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 60% to 40% in Holstein Kiel's favour, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.98 to 1.58.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Holstein Kiel against 2.00 for Freiburg.
Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg Result & Final Score
Holstein Kiel 1 - 2 Freiburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Freiburg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel 28%, draw 24%, Freiburg 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.