Madura United 2-3 Borneo FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madura United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Borneo FC EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -18%
1.21/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.40
-5% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
321 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madura United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Borneo FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
388 Passes 325
14.12.2024 Borneo FC Borneo FC 5-0 HT 4-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
19.05.2024 Borneo FC Borneo FC 2-3 HT 2-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
15.05.2024 Madura United Madura United 1-0 HT 0-0 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
17.04.2024 Borneo FC Borneo FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
01.10.2022 Borneo FC Borneo FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
25.03.2022 Borneo FC Borneo FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madura United
2-3
AWAY Borneo FC
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Madura United vs Borneo FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borneo FC nicked a narrow win over Madura United 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Borneo FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Madura United had 48% of the ball to Borneo FC's 52%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Madura United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Madura United and 1.67 for Borneo FC.

What was the final score of Madura United vs Borneo FC?

Madura United 2-3 Borneo FC in the Indonesia League 1 on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madura United vs Borneo FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madura United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Madura United 37%, draw 26%, Borneo FC 37%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37)
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