Almere City 0-3 Sparta Rotterdam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.23
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.83
1/2
8%
24.65
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
11%
6.24
X/2
11%
5.86
X/X
10%
5.31
2/1
10%
26.0
2/2
22%
3.48
2/X
9%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.8pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almere City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +19%
1.44/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.15
-11% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
22.8 Crosses 18.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almere City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.99 xG 2.00
44% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
237 Passes 340
68% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-2 Almere City Almere City HOL
13.04.2024 Almere City Almere City 2-3 HT 1-2 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
05.11.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 HT 0-1 Almere City Almere City HOL
15.03.2019 Almere City Almere City 1-3 HT 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL2
07.12.2018 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 6-1 HT 2-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2
14.03.2016 Almere City Almere City 1-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almere City
0-3
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
1.43 xG 1.81
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 2
324 Passes 326
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 23
31 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Almere City vs Sparta Rotterdam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam cruised past Almere City 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sparta Rotterdam as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Almere City had 52% of the ball to Sparta Rotterdam's 48%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.43 to 1.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Almere City and 2.50 for Sparta Rotterdam.

What was the final score of Almere City vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Almere City 0-3 Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almere City vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Almere City 33%, draw 26%, Sparta Rotterdam 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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