Atletico Ottawa 5-2 Valour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.48
6+ Goals
12%
13.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.48 — our 25% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-10.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Valour EU Bookmakers 18%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.93/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.51
+13% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
15.9 Crosses 13.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Ottawa
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Valour
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.34 xG 0.89
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
379 Passes 365
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2024 Valour Valour 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
21.07.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-2 HT 1-1 Valour Valour KAPL
09.06.2024 Valour Valour 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
05.05.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-0 HT 2-0 Valour Valour CAPL
24.09.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 0-1 HT 0-0 Valour Valour CAPL
19.08.2023 Valour Valour 1-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Ottawa
5-2
AWAY Valour
2.15 xG 1.47
70% Ball Possession 30%
11 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 0
641 Passes 247
92% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 10
4 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Ottawa vs Valour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa cruised past Valour 5-2. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Ottawa as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Atletico Ottawa had 70% of the ball to Valour's 30%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 2.15 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 0.83 for Valour.

What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs Valour?

Atletico Ottawa 5-2 Valour in the Kanada - Premier League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs Valour?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 53%, draw 24%, Valour 23%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Ottawa), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✓ Over 2.5
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